8/17/2010 feature story
Analysts have made projections for 2010 apportionment based on population estimates. They show more shift of power from the rustbelt to the sunbelt. But, these projections should be taken with a grain of salt. This exercise examines how well the July 1, 1999 census estimates predicted the 2000 apportionment. For the most part, the estimates did well, but there were surprises. Expect more of the same in 2010.