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Next Brown Bag

Mon, March 23
Lundberg, State Care of the Elderly & Labor Supply of Adult Children

psc brown bag iconPredicting Survival of Older Adults: Findings from a Biosocial Survey

Noreen Goldman (Office of Population Research and Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University)

09/10/2012, at noon in room 6050 ISR-Thompson.

Researchers frequently use statistical models that incorporate social and demographic covariates to predict survival. Based on data from a biosocial survey in Taiwan, I explore the extent to which mortality prediction improves with the inclusion in such models of non-standard biological and clinical parameters; measures of physical performance; and global health ratings made by interviewers and physicians. Some surprising results emerge.


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