Monthly Archive for March, 2011

Oops: Detroit Economic Growth Corporation’s estimate of Detroit population

Its December 2010 estimate was 850,259 (see page 29). While that estimate is way too high in light of the 2010 Census, where the population count was 713,777, the report itself is quite informative:

City of Detroit: Neighborhood Market DrillDown
Social Compact | December 2010

Original source for this posting:
Independent census pegs Detroit’s population at 850k as lower-income residents leave city
Jonathan Oosting | Mlive.com
February 23, 2011

Bob Groves to CBS? Not likely

Not likely. This is a blog rumor, based on his talk to an Advertising Research Foundation event:
Census Chief Might Help Networks with Research Knowledge
David Goetzl
TVBlog
March 23, 2011

Mystery Pollster, Mark Blumenthal, reports that:

At a press conference in Washington called to discuss the new results, Groves knocked down a recent report that he would soon “transition out” of the Census director post as “blogger fantasy,” adding that he still “has a lot of work to do, and I’m not going anywhere soon.”

See full article, by University of Michigan’s SMP-trained Blumenthal:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/03/24/plato-missouri-sits-at-ce_n_840244.html

Texas Congressman Poe calls for voluntary ACS (HB931)

H.R.931: To make participation in the American Community Survey voluntary, except with respect to certain basic questions.
http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/bdquery/z?d112:h.r.00931:

The Census Bureau addressed this issue for Congress back in 2003. Making the ACS voluntary has negative effects on mail response, survey quality, and costs. See below for details:

Meeting 21st Century Demographic Data Needs – Implementing the American Community Survey
Report 3: Testing the Use of Voluntary Methods
http://www.census.gov/acs/www/Downloads/library/2003/Report03.pdf

Meeting 21st Century Demographic Data Needs – Implementing the American Community Survey
Report 11: Testing Voluntary Methods – Additional Results
http://www.census.gov/acs/www/Downloads/library/2004/Report11.pdf

Budget Cuts Axe Statistical Abstract

This is a collection of articles about and efforts to retain the Statistical Abstract, sorted by date:

Tea or Coffee? Land Line or Cellphone? Hogs or Humans? Census Has Answers
Sam Roberts | New York Times
October 10, 2011
Sam Roberts’ New York Times piece on the Statistical Abstract left out one important fact. This is the last one.

Farewell, Statistical Abstract
Robert J. Samuelson | Washington Post
October 4, 2011
Data collection via the Federal Statistical System costs roughly 3 billion dollars; Production of the Statistical Abstracts costs roughly 3 million dollars; End of the Abstract is Priceless (with apologies to Master Card)

Statistical Abstract of the United States: 2012 released
Census Bureau | Newsroom
September 28, 2011
Is it an annual factbook or is this the last release?

Census Bureau Wants to Kill Statistical Abstract
Eliot Marshall | Science Insider
August 31, 2011
Excellent summary of the coverage of the demise of the Statistical Abstract.

Continue Publishing ‘Statistical Abstract’
The Intelligencer | Wheeling News-Register
August 31, 2011
Another editorial to SAVE THE STATISTICAL ABSTRACT

Don’t let bureaucrats perform a lobotomy on our economy/Abolishing the Abstract would cause a real loss
Letter to the Editor | Washington Post
August 26, 2011

Save the stats
Ezra Klein | Washington Post
August 22, 2011
Robert Samuelson says “don’t kill the Statistical Abstract”! Paul Krugman agrees. They’re right. There’s even a Facebook page. Never heard of the Statistical Abstract? Go here. You’re in for a treat.

Help save the Statistical Abstract
Submitted by jrjacobs | Free Government Information (FGI)
March 22, 2011
Information on the issue with links to commentary an on-line petition and a write to Congress resource.

Statistical Abstract to bite the dust

Slated for the chopping block is the Statistical Abstract and the Consolidated Federal Funds report:

http://www.osec.doc.gov/bmi/budget/12CJ/Census_Bureau_FY_2012_Congressional_Submission.pdf

Page 53 in pdf
4. Terminate Federal Financial Statistics (Base Funding 6 FTE and $0.7 million; Program Change -6 FTE and -$0.7 million):
The Census Bureau requests a decrease of $0.7 million and 6 FTE to terminate the Federal Financial Statistics Program. The FY 2012 budget request is the result of a review of both ongoing and cyclical programs necessary to achieve Department of Commerce and Census Bureau goals and difficult choices had to be made in balancing program needs and fiscal constraints. This review resulted in the termination of the Federal Financial Statistics program in order to fund higher priority programs within the Census Bureau and Department. While the program funds the Consolidated Federal Funds Report, an important data collection, our focus is on filling gaps in other areas of the Government statistics program.

Page 82 in pdf
1. Terminate Statistical Abstract (Base Funding 24 FTE and $2.9 million; Program Change
-24 FTE and -$2.9 million):

The Census Bureau requests a decrease to terminate the Statistical Abstract program. The FY 2012 budget request is the result of a review of both ongoing and cyclical programs necessary to achieve Department of Commerce and Census Bureau goals and difficult choices had to be made in balancing program needs and fiscal constraints. The availability elsewhere of much of the information in the statistical abstract has led the Department and Census Bureau to the difficult decision to terminate the program.

39% – Marriage is Obsolete

From the Databank (Pew Research Center):
http://pewresearch.org/databank/dailynumber/?NumberID=1161

A related link is:
The Decline of Marriage and Rise of New Families
November 18, 2010
Link to Full Report

New Discussion Papers from the Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Does Quality Time Produce Quality Children? Evidence on the Intergenerational Transmission of Human Capital Using Parental Deaths
Eric D. Gould, Avi Simhon
Abstract; PDF

Is There Selection Bias in Laboratory Experiments? The Case of Social and Risk Preferences
Blair L. Cleave, Nikos Nikiforakis, Robert Slonim
Abstract; PDF

The Transition from Work to Retirement
Werner Eichhorst
Abstract; PDF

Putting Different Price Tags on the Same Health Condition: Re-evaluating the Well-Being Valuation Approach
Nattavudh Powdthavee, Bernard van den Berg
Abstract; PDF

The American Family in Black and White: A Post-Racial Strategy for Improving Skills to Promote Equality
James J. Heckman
Abstract; PDF

Emigration and Democracy
Frédéric Docquier, Elisabetta Lodigiani, Hillel Rapoport, Maurice Schiff
Abstract; PDF

Personality Psychology and Economics
Mathilde Almlund, Angela Lee Duckworth, James J. Heckman, Tim Kautz
Abstract; PDF

Fertility and the Plough
(forthcoming in: American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, May 2011)
Alberto Alesina, Paola Giuliano, Nathan Nunn
Abstract; PDF

Spatial versus Social Mismatch: The Strength of Weak Ties
Yves Zenou
Abstract; PDF

Too Low to Be True: The Use of Minimum Thresholds to Fight Tax Evasion
Mirco Tonin
Abstract; PDF

Trends in Individual Income Growth: Measurement Methods and British Evidence
Stephen P. Jenkins, Philippe Van Kerm
Abstract; PDF

Does It Matter Who Responded to the Survey? Trends in the U.S. Gender Earnings Gap Revisited
Jungmin Lee, Sokbae Lee
Abstract; PDF

The Right Look: Conservative Politicians Look Better and Their Voters Reward It
Niclas Berggren, Henrik Jordahl, Panu Poutvaara
Abstract; PDF

Inequality, Inequity Aversion, and the Provision of Public Goods
Felix Kölle, Dirk Sliwka, Nannan Zhou
Abstract; PDF

Immigrant Welfare Receipt across Europe
Alan Barrett, Bertrand Maitre
Abstract; PDF

Immigrants and Welfare Receipt in Ireland
Alan Barrett, Corona Joyce, Bertrand Maitre
Abstract; PDF

Collective Bargaining under Non-Binding Contracts
Sabien Dobbelaere, Roland Iwan Luttens
Abstract; PDF

Long-term Effects of Early Childhood Malaria Exposure on Education and Health: Evidence from Colonial Taiwan
Simon Chang, Belton M. Fleisher, Seonghoon Kim, Shi-yung Liu
Abstract; PDF

Unobserved Heterogeneity and Risk in Wage Variance: Does Schooling Provide Earnings Insurance?
Jacopo Mazza, Hans van Ophem, Joop Hartog
Abstract; PDF

Long-term Effects of Famine on Life Expectancy: A Re-analysis of the Great Finnish Famine of 1866-1868
Gabriele Doblhammer-Reiter, Gerard J. van den Berg, Lambert H. Lumey
Abstract; PDF

The Effect of Prenatal Stress on Birth Weight: Evidence from the al-Aqsa Intifada
Hani Mansour, Daniel I. Rees
Abstract; PDF

Retirement and Subjective Well-Being
Eric Bonsang, Tobias J. Klein
Abstract; PDF

Does Gender Matter for Academic Promotion? Evidence from a Randomized Natural Experiment
Natalia Zinovyeva, Manuel F. Bagues
Abstract; PDF

Whose Children Gain from Starting School Later? Evidence from Hungary
Szilvia Hámori, Janos Kollo
Abstract; PDF