Home > Publications . Search All . Browse All . Country . Browse PSC Pubs . PSC Report Series

PSC In The News

RSS Feed icon

Seefeldt says 'consumption smoothing' behavior makes long-term recovery more difficult for economically vulnerable

Seefeldt criticizes Kansas legislation restricting daily cash withdrawals from public assistance funds

Prescott says sex offender registries may increase recidivism by making offender re-assimilation impossible

Highlights

Elizabeth Bruch wins Robert Merton Prize for paper in analytic sociology

Elizabeth Bruch wins ASA award for paper in mathematical sociology

Spring 2015 PSC newletter available now

Formal demography workshop and conference at UC Berkeley, August 17-21

Next Brown Bag

PSC Brown Bags will be back fall 2015


Barbara A. Anderson photo

Considerations and Recommendations in Undertaking Population Projections for South Africa Intended to Assess the Impact and Consequences of HIV/AIDS

Publication Abstract

Download PDF versionAnderson, Barbara A., and Johan A. van Zyl. 2004. "Considerations and Recommendations in Undertaking Population Projections for South Africa Intended to Assess the Impact and Consequences of HIV/AIDS." PSC Research Report No. 04-561. August 2004.

This paper discusses the use of population projections for South Africa in estimating the future demographic impact of HIV/AIDS. The issues raised here apply to projections generally and to projections of the impact of HIV/AIDS in other countries. This paper focuses on preliminary analysis of assumptions underlying factors that influence the results of a population projection -- especially assessment of the robustness of the projections to violations of these assumptions. This preliminary sensitivity analysis should allow final projections to be carried out under a manageable number of combinations of assumptions. The authors make 11 specific recommendations for future projections intended to assess the impact of HIV / AIDS.

Browse | Search : All Pubs | Next