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Frey and colleagues outline 10 trends showing scale of America's demographic transitions

Starr says surveys intended to predict recidivism assign higher risk to poor

Prescott and colleagues find incidence of noncompetes in U.S. labor force varies by job, state, worker education

Highlights

ISR addition wins LEED Gold Certification

Call for Proposals: Small Grants for Research Using PSID Data. Due March 2, 2015

PSC Fall 2014 Newsletter now available

Martha Bailey and Nicolas Duquette win Cole Prize for article on War on Poverty

Next Brown Bag

Mon, March 9
Luigi Pistaferri, Consumption Inequality and Family Labor Supply

Blowin' Down the Road: Investigating Bilateral Causality Between Dust Storms and Population in the Great Plains

Publication Abstract

Deane, G., and Myron Gutmann. 2003. "Blowin' Down the Road: Investigating Bilateral Causality Between Dust Storms and Population in the Great Plains." Population Research and Policy Review, 22(4): 297-331.

Recently, the National Academy of Sciences concluded "it is clear that population and the environment are usually interrelated...". This paper directly tests the expected interrelationship using annual county-level population estimates provided by the U. S. Census Bureau and annual counts of dust storms from the 1960s, '70s, and '80s at weather stations situated throughout the U. S. Great Plains. In doing so, it implements a research design that extends methods (far removed from conventional demography) for pure time series analysis with multilevel regression models. The result is a method for causal modeling in panel data that produces, in this application, evidence of bilateral causality between population size and deleterious environmental conditions.

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