Home > Publications . Search All . Browse All . Country . Browse PSC Pubs . PSC Report Series

PSC In The News

RSS Feed icon

Prescott finds reported sex offenses lower in neighborhoods with resident sex offenders

Geronimus says poor Detroiters face greater health risks given adverse social conditions

Armstrong's research shows parental advice helps lower risk of campus sexual assaults

Highlights

David Lam is new director of Institute for Social Research

Elizabeth Bruch wins Robert Merton Prize for paper in analytic sociology

Elizabeth Bruch wins ASA award for paper in mathematical sociology

Spring 2015 PSC newletter available now

Next Brown Bag

PSC Brown Bags will be back fall 2015


Predicting Risky Drinking Outcomes Longitudinally: What Kind of Advance Notice Can We Get?

Publication Abstract

Zucker, R.A., M.M. Wong, D.B. Clark, K.E. Leonard, John E. Schulenberg, J.R. Cornelius, H.E. Fitzgerald, G.G. Homish, A. Merline, J.T. Nigg, Patrick M. O'Malley, and L.I. Puttler. 2006. "Predicting Risky Drinking Outcomes Longitudinally: What Kind of Advance Notice Can We Get?" Alcoholism - Clinical and Experimental Research, 30(20): 243-252.

This paper summarizes the proceedings ora symposium presented at the 2005 Research Society on Alcoholism meeting in Santa Barbara, California, that spans the interval from toddlerhood to early middle adulthood and addresses questions about how Far ahead developmentally we can anticipate alcohol problems and related substance use disorder and how such work informs our understanding of the Causes and course of alcohol problems and alcohol use disorder. The context of these questions both historically and developmentally is set by Robert Zucker in an introductory section. Next, Maria Wong and colleagues describe the developmental trajectories of behavioral and affective control front preschool to early adolescence in a high risk for alcoholism longitudinal study and demonstrate their ability to predict alcohol drug outcomes in adolescence. Duncan Clark and Jack Cornelius follow with a report on the predicitive utility of parental disruptive behavior disorders in predicting onset of alcohol problems in their adolescent offspring in late adolescence. Next, Kenneth Leonard and Gregory Homish report on adult development study findings relating baseline individual, spouse, and peer network drinking indicators at marriage onset that distinguish different patterns of stability and change in alcohol problems over the first 2 years of marriage. In the final paper, John Schulenberg and colleagues, utilizing national panel data from the Monitoring the Future Study, which cover the 18- to 35-year age span, show how trajectories of alcohol use in early adulthood predict differential alcohol abuse and dependence Outcomes at age 35. Finally, Robert Zucker examines the degree to which the Core symposium questions are answered and comments on next step research and clinical practice changes that are called for by these findings.

DOI:10.1111/j.1530-0277.2006.00033.x (Full Text)

PMCID: PMC1761127. (Pub Med Central)

Browse | Search : All Pubs | Next