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Revising the Coale-Trussell Method for Analyzing Age-Specific Marital Fertility Schedules

Publication Abstract

Xie, Yu, and Ellen Efron. 1991. "Revising the Coale-Trussell Method for Analyzing Age-Specific Marital Fertility Schedules." PSC Research Report No. 91-207. April 1991.

This paper revises the traditional Coale-Trussell method for analyzing age-specific marital fertility schedules in three ways. First, it uses more recent and more reliable data from the World Fertility Survey. Second, it tests alternative loglinear and log-multiplicative models representing explicit hypotheses and yielding simultaneous estimation of several latent parameters. Third, it incorporates natural fertility into the analysis of controlled fertility and thus relaxes the earlier assumption that the natural fertility standard is exactly known. Future users of the Coale-Trussell method for single populations are advised to use the new na and va estimates from this analysis in place of those of Coale and Trussell.

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