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Hermalin, Albert, Ann P. Riley, and Luis Rosero. 1995. "Regional Differences in Family Size Preferences in Costa Rica and Their Implications for Transition Theory." PSC Research Report No. 95-345. November 1995.
This paper examines the role of region in shaping family size preferences among rural Costa Rican women. Trends in preference by region are traced across several surveys and contrasted with trends in regional differentials in actual family size. A multilevel analysis is then carried out based on the 1981 Contraceptive Prevalence Survey in which two measures of desired family size are regressed against individual, community, and regional variables. The strong effect of region on preferences is contrasted with its role as a determinant of actual family size and of contraceptive use, and the implications of the findings for competing theories about the demographic transition are discussed in some detail.
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