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Work by Bailey and Dynarski cited in NYT piece on income inequality

Pfeffer says housing bubble masked decade-long growth in household net worth inequality

House, Burgard, Schoeni et al find that unemployment and recession have contrasting effects on mortality risk

Highlights

Jeff Morenoff makes Reuters' Highly Cited Researchers list for 2014

Susan Murphy named Distinguished University Professor

Sarah Burgard and former PSC trainee Jennifer Ailshire win ASA award for paper

James Jackson to be appointed to NSF's National Science Board

Next Brown Bag


PSC Brown Bags will return in the fall

Susan A. Murphy's Select Publications

Journal Articles

Almirall, Daniel, Daniel F. McCaffrey, Rajeev Ramchand, and Susan A. Murphy. 2013. "Subgroups Analysis when Treatment and Moderators are Time-varying." Preventive Science, 4(2): 169-178. PMCID: PMC3135740. DOI. Abstract.

Fonteneau, R., Susan A. Murphy, L. Wehenkel, and D. Ernst. 2013. "Batch mode reinforcement learning based on the synthesis of artificial trajectories." Annals of Operations Research, 208(1): 383-416. PMCID: PMC3773886. DOI. Abstract.

Kumar, S., W. Nilsen, A. Abernethy, A. Atienza, K. Patrick, M. Pavel, W. Riley, A. Shar, B. Spring, D. Spruijt-Metz, D. Hedeker, V. Honavar, R. Kravitz, R. Lefebvre, D. Mohr, Susan A. Murphy, C. Quinn, V. Shusterman, and D. Swendeman. 2013. "Mobile Health Technology Evaluation The mHealth Evidence Workshop." American Journal of Preventive Medicine, 45(2): 228-236. PMCID: PMC3803146. DOI. Abstract.

Fonteneau, Raphael, Susan A. Murphy, L. Wehenkel, and D. Ernst. 2013. "Sampling strategies for batch mode reinforcement learning." Revue d'Intelligence Artificielle, 27(2): 171-194. DOI. Abstract.

Almirall, Daniel, Beth Ann Griffin, Daniel F. McCaffrey, Rajeev Ramchand, Robert A. Yuen, and Susan A. Murphy. Online Access 2013. "Time-varying effect moderation using the structural nested mean model: estimation using inverse-weighted regression with residuals." Statistics in Medicine, . PMCID: PMC4008726. DOI. Abstract.

Almirall, Daniel, Scott Compton, Meredith Gunlicks-Stoessel, Naihua Duan, and Susan A. Murphy. 2012. "Designing a pilot sequential multiple assignment randomized trial for developing an adaptive treatment strategy." Statistics in Medicine, 31(17): 1887-1902. PMCID: PMC3399974. DOI. Abstract.

Lei, H., I. Nahum-Shani, K. Lynch, D. Oslin, and Susan A. Murphy. 2012. "A “SMART” Design for Building Individualized Treatment Sequences." Annual Review of Clinical Psychology, 8: 21-48. DOI. Abstract.

Lizotte, Daniel, Michael Bowling, and Susan A. Murphy. 2012. "Linear Fitted-Q Iteration with Multiple Reward Functions." Journal of Machine Learning Research, 13: 3253-3295. PMCID: PMC3670261.

Almirall, D., S. Compton, M. Rynn, J. Walkup, and Susan A. Murphy. 2012. "SMARTer Discontinuation Trial Designs for Developing an Adaptive Treatment Strategy." Journal of Child and Adolescent Psychopharmacology, 22(5): 364-374. PMCID: PMC3482379. DOI. Abstract.

Little, R., R. D'Agostino, M. Cohen, K. Dickersin, S. Emerson, J. Farrar, C. Frangakis, J. Hogan, G. Molenberghs, Susan A. Murphy, J. Neaton, A. Rotnitzky, D. Scharfstein, W. Shih, J.P. Siegel, and H. Stern. 2012. "The Prevention and Treatment of Missing Data in Clinical Trials." New England Journal of Medicine, 367(14): 1355-1360. PMCID: PMC3771340. DOI.

Nahum-Shani, I., M. Qian, D. Almirall, W. Pelham, B. Gnagy, G. Fabiano, J. Waxmonsky, J. Yu, and Susan A. Murphy. 2012. "Experimental Design and Primary Data Analysis Methods for Comparing Adaptive Interventions." Psychological Methods, 17(4): 457-477. NIHMSID: NIHMS422560. DOI. Abstract.

Nahum-Shani, I., M. Qian, D. Almirall, W. Pelham, B. Gnagy, G. Fabiano, J. Waxmonsky, J. Yu, and Susan A. Murphy. 2012. "Q-Learning: A Data Analysis Method for Constructing Adaptive Interventions." Psychological Methods, 17(4): 478-494. PMCID: PMC3747013. DOI. Abstract.

Shortreed, Susan M., Eric Laber, Daniel J. Lizotte, T. Scott Stroup, Joelle Pineau , and Susan A. Murphy. 2011. "Informing sequential clinical decision-making through reinforcement learning: an empirical study." Machine Learning, 84(1-2): 109-136. PMCID: PMC3143507. DOI. Abstract.

Qian, Min, and Susan A. Murphy. 2011. "Performance Guarantees for Individualized Treatment Rules." Annals of Statistics, 39(2): 1180-1210. PMCID: PMC3110016. DOI. Abstract.

Laber, Eric B., and Susan A. Murphy. 2011. "Adaptive Confidence Intervals for the Test Error in Classification." Journal of the American Statistical Association, 106(495): 904-913. PMCID: PMC3285493. DOI. Abstract.

Gunter, L., J. Zhu, and Susan A. Murphy. 2011. "Variable Selection for Qualitative Interactions." Statistical Methodology, 8(1): 42-55. PMCID: PMC3003934. DOI. Abstract.

Li, Zhiguo, and Susan A. Murphy. 2011. "Sample size formulae for two-stage randomized trials with survival outcomes." Biometrika, 98(3): 503-518. PMCID: PMC3254237. DOI. Abstract.

Almirall, Daniel, Thomas Ten Have, and Susan A. Murphy. 2010. "Structural Nested Mean Models for Assessing Time-Varying Effect Moderation." Biometrics, 66(1): 131-139. PMCID: PMC2875310. DOI. Abstract.

Chakraborty, B., Susan A. Murphy, and V. Strecher. 2010. "Inference for non-regular parameters in optimal dynamic treatment regimes." Statistical Methods in Medical Research, 19(3): 317-343. PMCID: PMC2891316. DOI. Abstract.

McGowan, H.M., R.L. Nix, Susan A. Murphy, and K.L. Bierman. 2010. "Investigating the Impact of Selection Bias in Dose-Response Analyses of Preventive Interventions." Prevention Science, 11(3): 239-251. PMCID: PMC3044506. DOI. Abstract.

Collins, L.M., B. Chokraborty, Susan A. Murphy, and V. Strecher. 2009. "Comparison of a phased experimental approach and a single randomized clinical trial for developing multicomponent behavioral interventions." Clinical Trials, 6(1): 5-15. PMCID: PMC2711350. DOI. Abstract.

Chakraborty, Bibhas, Linda M. Collins, Victor J. Strecher, and Susan A. Murphy. 2009. "Developing multicomponent interventions using fractional factorial designs." Statistics in Medicine, 28(21): 2687-2708. PMCID: PMC2746448. DOI. Abstract.

Murphy, Susan A., and D. Bingham. 2009. "Screening Experiments for Developing Dynamic Treatment Regimes." Journal of the American Statistical Association, 104(485): 391-408. PMCID: PMC2892819. DOI. Abstract.

Nair, V., V. Strecher, A. Fagerlin, P. Ubel, K. Resnicow, Susan A. Murphy, R. Little, B. Chakraborty, and A.J. Zhang. 2008. "Screening experiments and the use of fractional factorial designs in behavioral intervention research." American Journal of Public Health, 98(8): 1354-1359. PMCID: PMC2446451. DOI. Abstract. Public Access.

Murphy, Susan A., David W. Oslin, A John Rush, and Ji Zhu. 2007. "Methodological challenges in constructing effective treatment sequences for chronic psychiatric disorders." Neuropsychopharmacology, 32(2): 257-262. DOI. Abstract.

Pineau, J., M.G. Bellemare , A.J. Rush, A. Ghizaru, and Susan A. Murphy. 2007. "Constructing evidence-based treatment strategies using methods from computer science." Drug and Alcohol Dependence, 88(Suppl2): S52-60. PMCID: PMC1934348. DOI.

Collins, L.M., Susan A. Murphy, and V. Strecher. 2007. "Multiphase Optimization Strategy (MOST) and the Sequential Multiple Assignment Randomized Trial (SMART): New Methods for More Potent e-Health Interventions." American Journal of Preventive Medicine, 32(5S): S112-118. PMCID: PMC2062525. DOI.

Murphy, Susan A., L.M. Collins, and A.J. Rush. 2007. "Customizing Treatment to the Patient: Adaptive Treatment Strategies." Drug and Alcohol Dependence, 88(2): S1-S72. PMCID: PMC1924645. DOI.

Murphy, Susan A., K.G. Lynch, J.R. McKay, D. Oslin, and T. TenHave. 2007. " Developing Adaptive Treatment Strategies in Substance Abuse Research." Drug and Alcohol Dependence, 88(2): S24-S30. PMCID: PMC1922034. DOI.

Xie, Yu, and Susan A. Murphy. 2007. "Principal stratification designs to estimate input data missing due to death - Discussion." Biometrics, 63(3): 655-658. DOI.

Bray, B.C., D. Almirall, R.S. Zimmerman, D. Lynam, and Susan A. Murphy. 2006. "Assessing the Total Effect of Time-Varying Predictors in Prevention Research." Prevention Science, 7(1): 1-17. PMCID: PMC1479302. DOI. Abstract.

Bierman, K.L., R.L. Nix, J.J. Maples, and Susan A. Murphy. 2006. "Examining clinical judgment in an adaptive intervention design: The Fast Track program." Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 74(3): 468-481. DOI. Abstract.

Murphy, Susan A. 2005. "An Experimental Design for the Development of Adaptive Treatment Strategies." Statistics in Medicine, 24(10): 1455-1481. DOI. Abstract.

Collins, L.M., Susan A. Murphy, V. Nair, and V. Strecher. 2005. "A Strategy for Optimizing and Evaluating Behavioral Interventions." Annals of Behavioral Medicine, 30(1): 66-73. Abstract.

Murphy, Susan A. 2005. "A generalization error for Q-learning." Journal of Machine Learning Research, 6(July): 1073-1097. PMCID: PMC1475741. Abstract.

Collins, L.M., Susan A. Murphy, and K.L. Bierman. 2004. "A Conceptual Framework for Adaptive Preventive Interventions." Prevention Science, 5(3): 185-196. DOI. Abstract.

Barber, Jennifer S., Susan A. Murphy, and N. Verbitsky. 2004. "Adjusting for Time-Varying Confounding in Survival Analysis." Sociological Methodology, 34:163-192. Abstract.

Murphy, Susan A. 2003. "Optimal Dynamic Treatment Regimes." Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B-Statistical Methodology, 65(2): 331-366. Abstract.

Maples, Jerry, Susan A. Murphy, and William Axinn. 2002. "Two Level Proportional Hazards Models." Biometrics, 58(4): 754-763. DOI. Abstract.

Weber, J.E., J.E. Hollander, Susan A. Murphy, E. Braunwald, and C.M. Gibson. 2002. "Quantitative Comparison of Coronary Artery Flow and Myocardial Perfusion in Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction in the Presence and Absence of Recent Cocaine Use." Journal of Thrombosis and Thrombolysis, 14(3): 239-245. Abstract.

Murphy, Susan A., M.J. Van Der Laan, J.M. Robins, and and Conduct Problems Research Group. 2001. "Marginal Mean Models for Dynamic Regimes." Journal of the American Statistical Association, 96(456): 1410-1423. Abstract.

Barber, Jennifer S., Susan A. Murphy, William Axinn, and Jerry Maples. 2000. "Discrete-Time Multilevel Hazard Analysis." Sociological Methodology, 30: 201-235. DOI. Abstract. Public Access.

Chapters

Founteneau, Raphael, Susan A. Murphy, Louis Wehenkel, and Damien Ernst. 2011. "Towards min max generalization in reinforcement learning." In Agents and Artificial Intelligence: International Conference, ICAART 2010, Valencia, Spain, January 2010, Revised Selected Papers, Series: Communications in Computer and Information Science (CCIS) edited by J. Filipe, A. Fred, and B. Sharp. Volume 129, 61-77. Abstract.

Lizotte, Daniel, M. Bowling, and Susan A. Murphy. 2010. "Efficient Reinforcement Learning with Multiple Reward Functions for Randomized Controlled Trial Analysis." In Proceedings of the 27th International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML 2010) edited by Johannes Furnkranz and Thorsten Joachims. Madison, WI: International Machine Learning Society. Abstract. Publisher Link .

Fonteneau, R., Susan A. Murphy, L. Wehenkel, and D. Ernst. 2010. "Model-Free Monte Carlo-like Policy Evaluation." In Volume 9: AISTATS 2010 Proceedings of the Thirteenth International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics. San Francisco: Morgan Kaufmann Publishers. Abstract.

Newsletters

Murphy, Susan A., and J.R. McKay. 2002. "Adaptive Treatment Strategies: an Emerging Approach for Improving Treatment Effectiveness." American Psychological Association Division 12, section III: The Society for the Science of Clinical Psychology Clinical Newsletter, .