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Buchmueller says employee wages are hit harder than corporate profits by rising health insurance costs

Davis-Kean et al. link children's self-perceptions to their math and reading achievement

Yang and Mahajan examine how hurricanes impact migration to the US

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Pamela Smock elected to PAA Committee on Publications

Viewing the eclipse from ISR-Thompson

Paula Fomby to succeed Jennifer Barber as Associate Director of PSC

PSC community celebrates Violet Elder's retirement from PSC

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Next Brown Bag

Mon, Sept 11, 2017, noon:
Welcoming of Postdoctoral Fellows: Angela Bruns, Karra Greenberg, Sarah Seelye and Emily Treleaven

Michael G. Mueller-Smith

Mueller-Smith's work contradicts Becker's theory that uncommon severe punishment is a more effective deterrent than probable light punishment

a PSC In The News reference, 2015

"How Econ Got Crime and Punishment Wrong" - Bloomberg. 09/22/2015.

Nobel prize-winning economist Gary Becker theorized that people use cost-benefit analysis in deciding whether to commit crimes, with cost equal to the probability of getting caught times the severity of the punishment. This led to Becker's conclusion that rare but severe punishments (which are hard to predict) are more cost-effective at deterring crime than lighter and more certain punishments. However, Michael Mueller-Smith recently found that long prison sentences often turn the incarcerated into career criminals, effectively increasing crime rates rather than deterring crime.

Related paper


Michael G. Mueller-Smith

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