Home > Events & News > Brown Bag Schedule . Archive

PSC In The News

RSS Feed icon

Shaefer says complex reasons for poverty make solutions challenging

Anderson discusses excess deaths under Stalin with BBC

More Fulbright Scholars from U-M than from any other research university in the US

More News

Highlights

Apply by 2/23 for Weinberg Population, Development & Climate Change funding

Needham, Hicken, Mitchell and colleagues link maternal social disadvantage and newborn telomere length

New Investigator Mentoring Program. Applications due Mar 1

PSC launches new program to support population scientists across U-M

More Highlights

Next Brown Bag

Mon, March 5, 2018, noon: Judith Seltzer on Family Complexity

story art

ISR's Traugott and others speculate on why election projections may have gone awry

a PSC In The News reference, 2016

"How did pollsters get Trump, Clinton election so wrong?" - USA Today. 11/09/2016.

Hidden/sheepish voters, unexpected voters, flawed polling methods, too few polls, underestimates of partisan turnouts, unanticipated impact of late-breaking news - what were the reasons that, of the 61 national polls tracking a two-party presidential race, only 6 projected the Republican would win? Mike Traugott says a post-election study should assess this issue: "To the extent we think that the election showed a cleavage between white Americans and minority Americans, I think some of the problem probably lies there," he said.

Michael Traugott

View News Archive