AIDS and the Elderly of Thailand: Projecting Familial Impacts
We apply computer microsimulation and aggregate demographic analysis to project the numbers of older Thais who will lose children to AIDS during their own lifetimes and to assess involvement with an ill child through caregiving and coresidence. Despite only 2 percent HIV prevalence, 11 percent of Thais over age 50 as of 1995 are likely to experience the loss of at least one adult child to AIDS, and 13 percent of these will lose multiple children. The chance of losing an adult child during one's lifetime will be 76 percent higher than if there were no AIDS epidemic.
Later Issued As:
Wachter, Kenneth W., John E. Knodel, and Mark VanLandingham. 2002. "AIDS and the Elderly of Thailand: Projecting Familial Impacts." Demography, 39(1): 25-41. DOI. Abstract. Public Access.