Home > Publications . Search All . Browse All . Country . Browse PSC Pubs . PSC Report Series

PSC In The News

RSS Feed icon

Buchmueller says employee wages are hit harder than corporate profits by rising health insurance costs

Davis-Kean et al. link children's self-perceptions to their math and reading achievement

Yang and Mahajan examine how hurricanes impact migration to the US

More News

Highlights

Pamela Smock elected to PAA Committee on Publications

Viewing the eclipse from ISR-Thompson

Paula Fomby to succeed Jennifer Barber as Associate Director of PSC

PSC community celebrates Violet Elder's retirement from PSC

More Highlights

Next Brown Bag

Mon, Sept 11, 2017, noon:
Welcoming of Postdoctoral Fellows: Angela Bruns, Karra Greenberg, Sarah Seelye and Emily Treleaven

David Lam photo

Stages of the Demographic Transition from a Child's Perspective: Family Size, Cohort Size, and Children's Resources

Publication Abstract

Download PDF versionLam, David, and Leticia Marteleto. 2006. "Stages of the Demographic Transition from a Child's Perspective: Family Size, Cohort Size, and Children's Resources." PSC Research Report No. 06-591. 3 2006.

This paper provides a new characterization of stages of the demographic transition, describing it from a child’s perspective. These stages describe the sequence of changes in family and cohort sizes that affect children’s resources. In Stage 1, falling mortality produces increases in surviving family size and in the size of birth cohorts. In Stage 2, falling fertility overtakes falling mortality to produce declining family size, but population momentum causes continued growth in cohort size. In Stage 3, falling fertility overtakes population momentum to produce declining cohort size. We apply our framework to census microdata for Brazil, Kenya, Mexico, and Vietnam, focusing on children aged 9-11. Brazil was still in Stage 1 during the 1960s, was in Stage 2 from roughly 1970 to 1982, and has been in Stage 3 since 1982, the year in which the largest birth cohort was born. Mexico and Vietnam have also entered Stage 3, with declines in both the family size of children aged 9-11 and in the absolute number of 9-11 year-olds. Kenya also experienced declines in children’s family size between 1989 and 1999, but will not experience the declining cohort size for at least another decade.

Countries of focus: Brazil, Kenya, Mexico, Vietnam.

Browse | Search : All Pubs | Next